Pair #3970

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-BHOS

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Beau Hossler make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Beau Hossler
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 332

YES ask: 0.7700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.5100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Beau Hossler has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-BHOS

Will Beau Hossler lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Beau Hossler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1661

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Beau Hossler is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:10:22Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could lead R1 but play poorly in R2 and miss the cut). Making the cut does not require leading after R1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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