Pair #397

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLPACIFIC-26-SEA

Will Seattle Kraken win the NHL Pacific Division?

Series: KXNHLPACIFIC
Entity: Seattle Kraken
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 31429

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Seattle Kraken win the 2025-2026 NHL Pacific Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLWEST-26-SEA

Western Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Seattle Kraken
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 100618

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Seattle Kraken wins the Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:08:44Z

Reasoning: Winning the Pacific Division does not guarantee winning the Western Conference Finals — a division winner can be eliminated in earlier playoff rounds. Winning the WCF does not require having won the Pacific Division (wild card teams can advance).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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