Pair #3969

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-BHOS

Will Beau Hossler win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Beau Hossler
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 116573

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Beau Hossler wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-BHOS

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Beau Hossler finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Beau Hossler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10897

YES ask: 0.3900
NO ask: 0.6500
Last: 0.4100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Beau Hossler finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:09:59Z

Reasoning: If Hossler wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold: finishing top 20 does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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