Pair #3956

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-ATOS

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Alejandro Tosti finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Alejandro Tosti
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 952

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Alejandro Tosti finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-ATOS

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Alejandro Tosti finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Alejandro Tosti
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 14041

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Alejandro Tosti finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:09:39Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee finishing top 10 overall, and finishing top 10 overall does not require finishing top 10 in Round 1. These are independent measurements.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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