Pair #395

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLPACIFIC-26-SEA

Will Seattle Kraken win the NHL Pacific Division?

Series: KXNHLPACIFIC
Entity: Seattle Kraken
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 31429

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Seattle Kraken win the 2025-2026 NHL Pacific Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-SEA

Will the Seattle Kraken win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Seattle Kraken
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 3336

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seattle Kraken wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:08:44Z

Reasoning: Winning the President's Trophy (best overall record) does not require winning the Pacific Division — Seattle could have the best record league-wide while another team wins the Pacific. Conversely, winning the Pacific Division does not mean Seattle has the best overall record in the league.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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