Pair #3948

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-JSMI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jordan L. Smith finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jordan L. Smith
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1026

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jordan L. Smith finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-JSMI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jordan L. Smith finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jordan L. Smith
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2281

YES ask: 0.1500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jordan L. Smith finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:09:39Z

Reasoning: If Jordan L. Smith finishes top 10 overall, he necessarily finishes top 20 overall (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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