Pair #3947

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-JSMI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jordan L. Smith finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Jordan L. Smith
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 922

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jordan L. Smith finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-JSMI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jordan L. Smith finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jordan L. Smith
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1026

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jordan L. Smith finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:09:39Z

Reasoning: If Jordan L. Smith finishes top 5 overall, he necessarily finishes top 10 overall (top 5 is a subset of top 10). The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not guarantee top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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