Pair #3942

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-JSMI

Will Jordan L. Smith win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jordan L. Smith
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 239017

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jordan L. Smith wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-JSMI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jordan L. Smith finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Jordan L. Smith
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 922

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jordan L. Smith finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:09:19Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top 5 finish. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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