Pair #3941

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP5-TECHO26-JSMI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jordan L. Smith finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Jordan L. Smith
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 283

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.9300
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jordan L. Smith finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-JSMI

Will Jordan L. Smith win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jordan L. Smith
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 239017

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jordan L. Smith wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:09:19Z

Reasoning: Winning the overall tournament does not require finishing top 5 in Round 1 specifically. A player can win while having a mediocre first round. And finishing top 5 in Round 1 does not imply winning the tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue