Pair #3939

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-KYU

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Kevin Yu finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Kevin Yu
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 682

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Yu finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-KYU

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Kevin Yu finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Kevin Yu
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 473

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Yu finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:09:19Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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