Pair #3936

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-KYU

Will Kevin Yu win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Kevin Yu
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4021

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Kevin Yu wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-KYU

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Kevin Yu finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Kevin Yu
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 473

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kevin Yu finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:09:19Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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