Pair #3933

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-THOG

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tom Hoge finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tom Hoge
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10879

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tom Hoge finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-THOG

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tom Hoge make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tom Hoge
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1469

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.1500
Last: 0.8400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tom Hoge has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:08:55Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires making the cut. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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