Pair #393

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLPACIFIC-26-SEA

Will Seattle Kraken win the NHL Pacific Division?

Series: KXNHLPACIFIC
Entity: Seattle Kraken
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 31429

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Seattle Kraken win the 2025-2026 NHL Pacific Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-SEA

Will the Seattle Kraken be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?

Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Seattle Kraken
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 232570

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Seattle Kraken are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:08:44Z

Reasoning: Winning a division guarantees a playoff berth in the NHL. However, making the playoffs does not require winning the division — wild card spots exist.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T15:36:31Z

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