Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-THOG
Will Tom Hoge win the Texas Children's Houston Open?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tom Hoge
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 342602
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Tom Hoge wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-THOG
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tom Hoge make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tom Hoge
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1469
YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.1500
Last: 0.8400
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Tom Hoge has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:08:55Z
Reasoning: Winning the tournament requires completing all rounds, which means making the cut. Making the cut does not imply winning.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.9800
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A