Pair #3922

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-PCOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Pierceson Coody make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Pierceson Coody
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1679

YES ask: 0.6900
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Pierceson Coody has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-PCOO

Will Pierceson Coody lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Pierceson Coody
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 67038

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Pierceson Coody is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:08:55Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (could collapse in R2), and making the cut does not require having led after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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