Pair #3913

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-NDUN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Nick Dunlap make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Nick Dunlap
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 401

YES ask: 0.1600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nick Dunlap has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-NDUN

Will Nick Dunlap lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Nick Dunlap
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 663

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nick Dunlap is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:08:38Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in R2 and miss the cut). Making the cut does not imply leading after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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