Pair #3912

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-NDUN

Will Nick Dunlap win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Nick Dunlap
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3594

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nick Dunlap wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-NDUN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Nick Dunlap finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Nick Dunlap
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 643

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nick Dunlap finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:08:38Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is within the top 20. The reverse is not true — finishing top 20 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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