Pair #3911

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-NDUN

Will Nick Dunlap win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Nick Dunlap
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3594

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nick Dunlap wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-NDUN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Nick Dunlap make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Nick Dunlap
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 401

YES ask: 0.1600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nick Dunlap has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:08:38Z

Reasoning: To win the tournament, a player must complete all rounds, which requires making the cut. If Dunlap wins, he necessarily made the cut. The reverse is not true — making the cut does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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