Pair #3910

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-NDUN

Will Nick Dunlap lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Nick Dunlap
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 663

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nick Dunlap is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-NDUN

Will Nick Dunlap win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Nick Dunlap
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3594

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nick Dunlap wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:08:38Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament does not require leading after Round 1; a player can win without ever holding the R1 lead. And leading after R1 does not guarantee winning the tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue