KXNHL-26-SEA
Will Seattle Kraken win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?
Series: KXNHL
Entity: Seattle Kraken
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 423798
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
KXNHLWEST-26-SEA
Western Conference Finals Winner?
Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Seattle Kraken
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 100618
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:08:44Z
Reasoning: To win the Stanley Cup Finals, Seattle must have won the Western Conference Finals first. Winning the Cup logically necessitates winning the Western Conference. The reverse is not true — they could win the WCF but lose the Stanley Cup Finals.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-11.40%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
30
Hurdle yield:
4.22%
Excess yield:
-15.62%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T09:43:42Z