Pair #3906

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-NHOJ

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Nicolai Hojgaard make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 283

YES ask: 0.9200
NO ask: 0.1600
Last: 0.9400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nicolai Hojgaard has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-NHOJ

Will Nicolai Hojgaard lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13411

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nicolai Hojgaard is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:08:14Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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