Pair #3903

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-WMOU

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will William Mouw finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: William Mouw
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2506

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If William Mouw finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-WMOU

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will William Mouw finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: William Mouw
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 567

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If William Mouw finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:08:14Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 10 (top 5 is a subset of top 10). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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