Pair #3900

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-BHOR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Billy Horschel finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Billy Horschel
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 501

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Billy Horschel finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-BHOR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Billy Horschel finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Billy Horschel
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3734

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Billy Horschel finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:08:14Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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