Pair #3897

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-BHOR

Will Billy Horschel win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Billy Horschel
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 50029

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Billy Horschel wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-BHOR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Billy Horschel finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Billy Horschel
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 501

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Billy Horschel finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:07:57Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top 10 finish. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 10 does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue