Pair #3895

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-GWOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gary Woodland finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 308

YES ask: 0.1500
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-GWOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gary Woodland finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 19988

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.0300
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:07:57Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee a top 5 overall finish, and finishing top 5 overall does not require a top 10 Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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