Pair #3893

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-GWOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gary Woodland make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 11241

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.6500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Gary Woodland has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-GWOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gary Woodland finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 308

YES ask: 0.1500
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:07:57Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (the cut is determined after Round 2), and making the cut does not require a top 10 Round 1 finish. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.4500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue