Pair #3886

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-BBUR

Will Bronson Burgoon win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10584

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bronson Burgoon wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-BBUR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Bronson Burgoon finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9927

YES ask: 0.5600
NO ask: 0.4800
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bronson Burgoon finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:07:57Z

Reasoning: If Bronson Burgoon wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily inside the top 20. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not mean he won.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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