Pair #3885

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-BBUR

Will Bronson Burgoon win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10584

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bronson Burgoon wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-BBUR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Bronson Burgoon finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 570

YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 0.8200
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bronson Burgoon finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:07:34Z

Reasoning: If Bronson Burgoon wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily a top 10 finish. However, finishing top 10 does not require winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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