Pair #3877

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-DTHO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Davis Thompson finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Davis Thompson
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 564

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Davis Thompson finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-DTHO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Davis Thompson finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Davis Thompson
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1075

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Davis Thompson finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:07:34Z

Reasoning: If Davis Thompson finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 as well (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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