Pair #3876

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-DTHO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Davis Thompson finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Davis Thompson
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1075

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Davis Thompson finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-DTHO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Davis Thompson make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Davis Thompson
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 23668

YES ask: 0.3500
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.4600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Davis Thompson has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:07:34Z

Reasoning: If Davis Thompson finishes top 20, he must have made the cut. However, making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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