Pair #3875

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-DTHO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Davis Thompson finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Davis Thompson
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 564

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Davis Thompson finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-DTHO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Davis Thompson make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Davis Thompson
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 23668

YES ask: 0.3500
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.4600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Davis Thompson has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:07:34Z

Reasoning: If Davis Thompson finishes top 10, he must have made the cut — you cannot finish top 10 without surviving the cut. However, making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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