Pair #3871

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-DTHO

Will Davis Thompson win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Davis Thompson
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 205055

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Davis Thompson wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-DTHO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Davis Thompson finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Davis Thompson
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 564

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Davis Thompson finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:07:15Z

Reasoning: If Davis Thompson wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily top 10. Finishing top 10 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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