Pair #3867

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-TOLE

Will Thorbjorn Olesen win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Thorbjorn Olesen
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 176887

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Thorbjorn Olesen wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-TOLE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Thorbjorn Olesen finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Thorbjorn Olesen
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1905

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Thorbjorn Olesen finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:07:15Z

Reasoning: If Olesen wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily top 10. But finishing top 10 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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