Pair #3864

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MTHO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Michael Thorbjornsen finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Michael Thorbjornsen
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 21646

YES ask: 0.9300
NO ask: 0.0900
Last: 0.9300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Thorbjornsen finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-MTHO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Michael Thorbjornsen make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Michael Thorbjornsen
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 355

YES ask: 0.8900
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.7700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Thorbjornsen has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:07:15Z

Reasoning: If Thorbjornsen finishes top 20, he must have made the cut. Making the cut alone does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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