Pair #3863

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-MTHO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Michael Thorbjornsen finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Michael Thorbjornsen
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 50714

YES ask: 0.6400
NO ask: 0.3800
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Thorbjornsen finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-MTHO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Michael Thorbjornsen make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Michael Thorbjornsen
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 355

YES ask: 0.8900
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.7700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Thorbjornsen has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:07:15Z

Reasoning: If Thorbjornsen finishes top 5, he must have made the cut. But making the cut does not imply finishing top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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