Pair #3862

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-MTHO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Michael Thorbjornsen finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Michael Thorbjornsen
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 14526

YES ask: 0.8700
NO ask: 0.2200
Last: 0.7900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Thorbjornsen finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-MTHO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Michael Thorbjornsen make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Michael Thorbjornsen
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 355

YES ask: 0.8900
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.7700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Thorbjornsen has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:07:15Z

Reasoning: If Thorbjornsen finishes top 10, he must have made the cut. But making the cut does not imply finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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