Pair #3860

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-MTHO

Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Michael Thorbjornsen
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1596008

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

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Rules

If Michael Thorbjornsen wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-MTHO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Michael Thorbjornsen make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Michael Thorbjornsen
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 355

YES ask: 0.8900
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.7700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Michael Thorbjornsen has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:06:57Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament necessarily means the player made the cut (you cannot win without making the cut). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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