Pair #3856

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SJAE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Stephan Jaeger make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Stephan Jaeger
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 13656

YES ask: 0.9700
NO ask: 0.0700
Last: 0.9200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Stephan Jaeger has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP5-TECHO26-SJAE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Stephan Jaeger finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Stephan Jaeger
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 776

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.9300
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Stephan Jaeger finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:06:57Z

Reasoning: Making the cut has no logical relationship to finishing top 5 in Round 1. A player can finish top 5 in R1 and still miss the cut, and can make the cut without having been top 5 in R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue