Pair #3853

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-SKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Seonghyeon Kim finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 546

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seonghyeon Kim finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-SKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Seonghyeon Kim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 603

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seonghyeon Kim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:06:57Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 20 (top 5 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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