Pair #3851

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-SKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Seonghyeon Kim finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 546

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seonghyeon Kim finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Seonghyeon Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1648

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seonghyeon Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:06:57Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 10 (top 5 is a subset of top 10). But finishing top 10 does not imply top 5 (could finish 6th-10th).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue