Pair #385

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLEAST-26-PHI

Eastern Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLEAST
Entity: Philadelphia Flyers
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 275968

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Philadelphia Flyers wins the Eastern Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-PHI

Will the Philadelphia Flyers be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?

Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Philadelphia Flyers
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 160793

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Philadelphia Flyers are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:08:25Z

Reasoning: Winning the Eastern Conference Finals requires having made the playoffs. So KXNHLEAST-26-PHI → KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-PHI. Making the playoffs does not imply winning the ECF.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -99.98% (negative yield)
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: 30
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.20% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T11:39:05Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue