Pair #3845

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-SKIM

Will Seonghyeon Kim lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2568

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seonghyeon Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Seonghyeon Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1648

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seonghyeon Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:06:34Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 10 finish, and finishing top 10 does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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