Pair #3844

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Seonghyeon Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1332

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Seonghyeon Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-SKIM

Will Seonghyeon Kim lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2568

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Seonghyeon Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:06:34Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut; a player could lead R1 but play poorly in R2 and miss the cut. Making the cut does not require leading R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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