Pair #3841

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-SKIM

Will Seonghyeon Kim win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 26653

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seonghyeon Kim wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Seonghyeon Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1648

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seonghyeon Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:06:34Z

Reasoning: If Kim wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily top 10. Top 10 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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