Pair #3836

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-ISAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Isaiah Salinda make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Isaiah Salinda
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 630

YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.5100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Isaiah Salinda has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-ISAL

Will Isaiah Salinda lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Isaiah Salinda
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6831

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Isaiah Salinda is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:06:17Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut. A player can lead R1 and still miss the cut after R2. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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