Pair #3831

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXDPWORLDTOUR-HEIO26-NELV

Will Nacho Elvira win the Hero Indian Open?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOUR
Entity: Nacho Elvira
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 280

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nacho Elvira wins the Hero Indian Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-HACPBM26-NELV

Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO: Will Nacho Elvira make the cut?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT
Entity: Nacho Elvira
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 259

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nacho Elvira makes the cut in the 2026 Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:06:17Z

Reasoning: Making the cut in the Hainan Classic and winning the Hero Indian Open are completely separate events in different tournaments with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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