Pair #3829

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-CER

Will Francisco Cerundolo win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Francisco Cerundolo
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 35762

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0400

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Rules

If Francisco Cerundolo wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR26CERZVE-CER

Will Francisco Cerundolo win the Cerundolo vs Zverev : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Francisco Cerundolo
Expiration: 2026-03-26T20:00:00Z
Volume: 6766

YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.2900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Francisco Cerundolo wins the Cerundolo vs Zverev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:06:17Z

Reasoning: To win the Miami Open, Cerundolo must win every match including the quarterfinal against Zverev. If he wins the tournament, he necessarily won that quarterfinal match.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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