Pair #3826

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-ZVE

Will Alexander Zverev win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Alexander Zverev
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 41460

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alexander Zverev wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR26CERZVE-ZVE

Will Alexander Zverev win the Cerundolo vs Zverev : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Alexander Zverev
Expiration: 2026-03-26T20:00:00Z
Volume: 37934

YES ask: 0.7300
NO ask: 0.2800
Last: 0.7300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alexander Zverev wins the Cerundolo vs Zverev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:06:17Z

Reasoning: To win the Miami Open, Zverev must win every match including the quarterfinal against Cerundolo. If he wins the tournament, he necessarily won that quarterfinal match.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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