Pair #3817

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-TKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tom Kim finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5678

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tom Kim finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-TKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tom Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4941

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tom Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:06:00Z

Reasoning: Top 5 is a subset of top 10, so finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 10. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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