Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-TKIM
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tom Kim finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5887
YES ask: 0.3400
NO ask: 0.6800
Last: 0.3300
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Tom Kim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-TKIM
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tom Kim make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1301
YES ask: 0.5900
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.5900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Tom Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:06:00Z
Reasoning: If Tom Kim finishes top 20, he must have made the cut. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.2700
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A